# EU-27 – post-consumer scrap collection, compound annual growth 2025–2031 – EU27, 2025–2031

**-0.30 %/r.**

- Fact ID: `R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR`
- Label (PL): UE-27 – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, średnie roczne tempo 2025–2031
- Value (machine): -0.3
- 80% interval (10th–90th percentile of the forecast distribution): -1.3 to 0.6
- Unit: %/r.
- Period: 2025–2031
- Area: EU27
- Metal: cu
- Verification: forecast
- Note: Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).
- Source: EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks) (class C)
- Publisher: ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02
- Forecast: [AIWAW-2026-R03 – Copper scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031](https://www.ai-waw.com/en/forecasts/eu-copper-scrap-market-2026-2031.md)

Cite: ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031