# Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Sensor-based sorting – EU27, 2031

**-49.70 tys. t Cu**

- Fact ID: `R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031`
- Label (PL): Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Sortowanie sensorowe
- Value (machine): -49.7
- 80% interval (10th–90th percentile of the forecast distribution): -302.5 to 196.1
- Unit: tys. t Cu
- Period: 2031
- Area: EU27
- Metal: cu
- Verification: forecast
- Note: Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 2.7 kt.
- Source: EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks) (class C)
- Publisher: ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02
- Forecast: [AIWAW-2026-R03 – Copper scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031](https://www.ai-waw.com/en/forecasts/eu-copper-scrap-market-2026-2031.md)

Cite: ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031