{"publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","version":"1.0","title":{"pl":"Rynek złomu aluminium w krajach Unii Europejskiej w latach 2026–2031","en":"Aluminium scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031"},"url":"https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","data":[{"id":"R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – wywóz CN 7602 poza UE w 2025 r., masa brutto","en":"EU-27 – extra-EU exports of CN 7602 in 2025, gross mass"},"value":1277.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t brutto","currency":null,"period":"2025","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"verified","note":"Comext, wydanie 16.10.2026.","note_pl":"Comext, wydanie 16.10.2026.","note_en":"Comext, 16 October 2026 release.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-ESTAT-COMEXT-7602","title":"Eurostat, Comext: handel CN 7602, CN 2620 40 i CN 7601 20, wydanie 16.10.2026","title_pl":"Eurostat, Comext: handel CN 7602, CN 2620 40 i CN 7601 20, wydanie 16.10.2026","title_en":"Eurostat, Comext: trade in CN 7602, CN 2620 40 and CN 7601 20, release 16 October 2026","publisher":"Eurostat","publisher_pl":"Eurostat","publisher_en":null,"url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/comext/newxtweb/","class":"A","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025.json"}},{"id":"R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – przywóz CN 7602 spoza UE w 2025 r., masa brutto","en":"EU-27 – extra-EU imports of CN 7602 in 2025, gross mass"},"value":652.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t brutto","currency":null,"period":"2025","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"verified","note":"Comext, wydanie 16.10.2026.","note_pl":"Comext, wydanie 16.10.2026.","note_en":"Comext, 16 October 2026 release.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-ESTAT-COMEXT-7602","title":"Eurostat, Comext: handel CN 7602, CN 2620 40 i CN 7601 20, wydanie 16.10.2026","title_pl":"Eurostat, Comext: handel CN 7602, CN 2620 40 i CN 7601 20, wydanie 16.10.2026","title_en":"Eurostat, Comext: trade in CN 7602, CN 2620 40 and CN 7601 20, release 16 October 2026","publisher":"Eurostat","publisher_pl":"Eurostat","publisher_en":null,"url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/comext/newxtweb/","class":"A","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Austria – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Austria – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":107,"value_sd":null,"value_low":90.9,"value_high":124.6,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"AT","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Belgia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Belgium – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":168.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":131,"value_high":210.5,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"BE","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Bułgaria – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Bulgaria – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":55.2,"value_sd":null,"value_low":43.8,"value_high":67.8,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"BG","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Cypr – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Cyprus – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":4.8,"value_high":7.4,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"CY","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Czechy – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Czechia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":80.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":60.2,"value_high":101.8,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"CZ","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Niemcy – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Germany – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":720.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":611.7,"value_high":840.1,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"DE","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Dania – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Denmark – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":75.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":62.3,"value_high":90,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"DK","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Estonia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Estonia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":11.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":9,"value_high":14.1,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EE","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Hiszpania – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Spain – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":249.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":209.4,"value_high":291.1,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"ES","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – recykling w tej samej rodzinie w 2031 r., miara orientacyjna","en":"EU-27 – recycling within the same family in 2031, indicative measure"},"value":2494.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":2070.5,"value_high":2887.5,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – downcycling w 2031 r., miara orientacyjna","en":"EU-27 – downcycling in 2031, indicative measure"},"value":1038.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":768.6,"value_high":1314.3,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – podaż złomu z nabywcą w 2031 r., masa brutto","en":"EU-27 – scrap supply with a buyer in 2031, gross mass"},"value":6169.796,"value_sd":null,"value_low":5540.349,"value_high":6822.71,"unit":"tys. t brutto","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – wywóz netto poza UE w 2031 r., wynik zależny od założeń, Al zawarte","en":"EU-27 – net extra-EU exports in 2031, assumption-dependent result, contained Al"},"value":255.566,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-42.905,"value_high":585.911,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – złom nowy: brutto w 2031 r. (Al zawarte, nie masa brutto)","en":"EU-27 – new scrap: gross generation in 2031 (contained Al, not gross mass)"},"value":5281.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":4689.8,"value_high":5900.1,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – złom nowy: obieg wewnętrzny w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – new scrap: internal loop in 2031"},"value":3452,"value_sd":null,"value_low":3036.7,"value_high":3889.6,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – złom nowy na rynku w 2031 r., Al zawarte","en":"EU-27 – new scrap on the market in 2031, contained Al"},"value":1829.064,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1573.966,"value_high":2085.052,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; przedział 80%.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r., Al zawarte","en":"EU-27 – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031, contained Al"},"value":3590.65,"value_sd":null,"value_low":3181.55,"value_high":4017.691,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – podaż złomu z nabywcą w 2031 r., Al zawarte","en":"EU-27 – scrap supply with a buyer in 2031, contained Al"},"value":5419.714,"value_sd":null,"value_low":4876.373,"value_high":5959.182,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – Al przydatne technologicznie w 2031 r., Al w metalu z przetopu","en":"EU-27 – technologically usable Al in 2031, Al in remelted metal"},"value":4730.048,"value_sd":null,"value_low":4197.279,"value_high":5263.8,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Finlandia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Finland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":87.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":71.8,"value_high":104.9,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"FI","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Francja – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"France – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":543.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":470.6,"value_high":621.2,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"FR","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Grecja – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Greece – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":49,"value_sd":null,"value_low":38.7,"value_high":60.2,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"GR","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Chorwacja – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Croatia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":22.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":17.5,"value_high":28.3,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"HR","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Węgry – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Hungary – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":66.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":53.2,"value_high":80.4,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"HU","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Irlandia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Ireland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":66.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":56.1,"value_high":78,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"IE","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Włochy – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Italy – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":449.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":378.4,"value_high":528,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"IT","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Litwa – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Lithuania – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":18,"value_sd":null,"value_low":14.7,"value_high":21.5,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"LT","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Luksemburg – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Luxembourg – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":7.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":5.7,"value_high":9.2,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"LU","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Łotwa – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Latvia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":8.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":7.2,"value_high":10.7,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"LV","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Malta – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Malta – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":4.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":3.5,"value_high":5.7,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"MT","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Niderlandy – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Netherlands – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":175.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":139.4,"value_high":216,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"NL","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Polska – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Poland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":303.2,"value_sd":null,"value_low":262.3,"value_high":346.6,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"PL","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Portugalia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Portugal – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":66.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":51.9,"value_high":82.7,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"PT","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Rumunia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Romania – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":77.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":61.5,"value_high":95.9,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"RO","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Szwecja – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Sweden – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":117.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":96.9,"value_high":138.9,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"SE","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Słowenia – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Slovenia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":15.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":13,"value_high":18.8,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"SI","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Słowacja – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego z nabywcą w 2031 r.","en":"Slovakia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031"},"value":35.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":28.4,"value_high":43.4,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"SK","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"forecast","note":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_pl":"Średnia losowań; rozrzut 80% losowań przy założeniach bazowych, warunkowy wobec założonej granicy relacji, nie przedział ufności.","note_en":"Mean of draws; 80% spread of draws under base assumptions, conditional on the assumed ratio bound, not a confidence interval.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – wywóz poza UE w 2026 r., nowcast, masa brutto","en":"EU-27 – extra-EU exports in 2026, nowcast, gross mass"},"value":1294.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1243.9,"value_high":1351.5,"unit":"tys. t brutto","currency":null,"period":"2026","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"nowcast","note":"Mediana; korekta obciążenia dodana po obejrzeniu wyników.","note_pl":"Mediana; korekta obciążenia dodana po obejrzeniu wyników.","note_en":"Median; bias correction added after seeing the results.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026.json"}},{"id":"R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – przywóz spoza UE w 2026 r., nowcast, masa brutto","en":"EU-27 – extra-EU imports in 2026, nowcast, gross mass"},"value":702.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":680.1,"value_high":728.2,"unit":"tys. t brutto","currency":null,"period":"2026","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"nowcast","note":"Mediana; korekta obciążenia dodana po obejrzeniu wyników.","note_pl":"Mediana; korekta obciążenia dodana po obejrzeniu wyników.","note_en":"Median; bias correction added after seeing the results.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: punkt odniesienia CMO – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: CMO reference point – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":10.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; punkt odniesienia; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; punkt odniesienia; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; reference point; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: punkt odniesienia CMO – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: CMO reference point – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-7.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; punkt odniesienia; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; punkt odniesienia; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; reference point; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: ścieżka Al −20% – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: Al path −20% – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":24.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: ścieżka Al −20% – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: Al path −20% – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-14.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: ścieżka Al +20% – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: Al path +20% – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-20.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Ceny: ścieżka Al +20% – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Prices: Al path +20% – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":13.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: bez art. 40 – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: no Art. 40 – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":906.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; model counterfactual; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: bez art. 40 – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: no Art. 40 – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-229.2,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; model counterfactual; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: limit bez cięcia poziomu – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: limit without the level cut – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":403.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; model counterfactual; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: limit bez cięcia poziomu – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: limit without the level cut – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-55.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; model counterfactual; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: bez projektów z rejestru R04 (równy S6c) – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: no projects in the R04 register (equal to S6c) – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":114.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; kontrfakt modelu; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; model counterfactual; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-KD4-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Kontrfakt modelu: bez projektów z rejestru R04 (równy S6c) – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Model counterfactual: no projects in the R04 register (equal to S6c) – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-110.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; 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scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-S8A-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8A-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-S8A-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8A-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wzrost – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Growth – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-25.2,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Wzrost – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Growth – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":148.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Szok jakości – różnica wywozu netto wobec S0, 2031","en":"Quality shock – net export difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-34,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031","label":{"pl":"Szok jakości – różnica Al przydatnego wobec S0, 2031","en":"Quality shock – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031"},"value":-65.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Al przydatnego","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"al","cn_code":"7602","verification":"scenario","note":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_pl":"Średnie 1 000 losowań; scenariusz; status H; wynik modelu, nie identyfikacja przyczynowa.","note_en":"Means of 1,000 draws; scenario; status H; model result, not causal identification.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R04","source":{"key":"S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu aluminium w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com","title_en":"EU aluminium scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model","publisher":"ai-waw.com","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations)","url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":null,"archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R04 v1.0, fact R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-aluminium-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031","html_en":"https://www.ai-waw.com/en/facts/R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031","json":"https://www.ai-waw.com/fakty/R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031.json"}}]}