Fact register · R01-N-CN-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), China, 2026 (nowcast)

3,637 kt

CN · 2026 · Cu copper

80% interval: 3,463.8 – 3,820 tys. t (10th and 90th percentile of the forecast distribution)

Note: 2026 nowcast (monthly data Jan–Jul 2026); 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).

Primary source: Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-17
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-N-CN-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

3.70 %/r.

Copper mine production, China – CAGR 2025–2031 · CN · 2025–2031

R01-K-CN-MINE-CAGR

2.60 %/r.

Refined copper production, China – CAGR 2025–2031 · CN · 2025–2031

R01-K-CN-REFINED-CAGR

2.40 %/r.

Primary refined copper production, China – CAGR 2025–2031 · CN · 2025–2031

R01-K-CN-REFINED-PRIMARY-CAGR

2.90 %/r.

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), China – CAGR 2025–2031 · CN · 2025–2031

R01-K-CN-REFINED-SECONDARY-CAGR

1,948.2 tys. t

Copper mine production, China, 2026 (nowcast) · CN · 2026

R01-N-CN-MINE-2026

14,230.5 tys. t

Refined copper production, China, 2026 (nowcast) · CN · 2026

R01-N-CN-REFINED-2026

10,594.9 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, China, 2026 (nowcast) · CN · 2026

R01-N-CN-REFINED-PRIMARY-2026

2,084.8 tys. t

Copper mine production, China, 2027 (forecast) · CN · 2027

R01-S-CN-MINE-2027