Fact register · R01-S-AFRICA-MINE-2027

Copper mine production, Africa, 2027 (forecast)

4,679.8 kt

AFRICA · 2027 · Cu copper

90% interval: 4,180 – 5,247.7 tys. t (5th and 95th percentile of Monte Carlo draws)

Note: Median (p50) of Monte Carlo draws; 90% interval (5th–95th percentile) after conformal calibration.

Primary source: Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-17
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-S-AFRICA-MINE-2027 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

3.10 %/r.

Copper mine production, Africa – CAGR 2025–2031 · AFRICA · 2025–2031

R01-K-AFRICA-MINE-CAGR

2.90 %/r.

Refined copper production, Africa – CAGR 2025–2031 · AFRICA · 2025–2031

R01-K-AFRICA-REFINED-CAGR

2.90 %/r.

Primary refined copper production, Africa – CAGR 2025–2031 · AFRICA · 2025–2031

R01-K-AFRICA-REFINED-PRIMARY-CAGR

4,526.1 tys. t

Copper mine production, Africa, 2026 (nowcast) · AFRICA · 2026

R01-N-AFRICA-MINE-2026

3,206.2 tys. t

Refined copper production, Africa, 2026 (nowcast) · AFRICA · 2026

R01-N-AFRICA-REFINED-2026

3,202.6 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Africa, 2026 (nowcast) · AFRICA · 2026

R01-N-AFRICA-REFINED-PRIMARY-2026

3.70 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Africa, 2026 (nowcast) · AFRICA · 2026

R01-N-AFRICA-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026

5,267.7 tys. t

Copper mine production, Africa, 2031 (forecast) · AFRICA · 2031

R01-S-AFRICA-MINE-2031