Fact register · R01-S-LATAM-REFINED-PRIMARY-2031

Primary refined copper production, Latin America (incl. Mexico), 2031 (forecast)

2,379.4 kt

LATAM · 2031 · Cu copper

90% interval: 2,056.4 – 2,757.5 tys. t (5th and 95th percentile of Monte Carlo draws)

Note: Median (p50) of Monte Carlo draws; 90% interval (5th–95th percentile) after conformal calibration.

Primary source: Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-17
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-S-LATAM-REFINED-PRIMARY-2031 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

-0.40 %/r.

Copper mine production, Latin America (incl. Mexico) – CAGR 2025–2031 · LATAM · 2025–2031

R01-K-LATAM-MINE-CAGR

-1 %/r.

Refined copper production, Latin America (incl. Mexico) – CAGR 2025–2031 · LATAM · 2025–2031

R01-K-LATAM-REFINED-CAGR

-1 %/r.

Primary refined copper production, Latin America (incl. Mexico) – CAGR 2025–2031 · LATAM · 2025–2031

R01-K-LATAM-REFINED-PRIMARY-CAGR

-1.50 %/r.

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Latin America (incl. Mexico) – CAGR 2025–2031 · LATAM · 2025–2031

R01-K-LATAM-REFINED-SECONDARY-CAGR

9,121.9 tys. t

Copper mine production, Latin America (incl. Mexico), 2026 (nowcast) · LATAM · 2026

R01-N-LATAM-MINE-2026

2,423.7 tys. t

Refined copper production, Latin America (incl. Mexico), 2026 (nowcast) · LATAM · 2026

R01-N-LATAM-REFINED-2026

2,400.4 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Latin America (incl. Mexico), 2026 (nowcast) · LATAM · 2026

R01-N-LATAM-REFINED-PRIMARY-2026

23.40 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Latin America (incl. Mexico), 2026 (nowcast) · LATAM · 2026

R01-N-LATAM-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026