Fact register · R03-N-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2026

Post-consumer scrap collection, Poland, 2026 (model result; 80% interval)

114.7 tys. t Cu

PL · 2026 · Cu copper

80% interval: 103.1 – 126.7 tys. t Cu (10th and 90th percentile of the forecast distribution)

Note: 2026 – model result; draws weighted by the extra-EU net-export observation (Comext January–August 2026); 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).

.md .json API

Primary source: EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-28
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Copper scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://www.ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031

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145.3 tys. t Cu

Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), Poland, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · PL · 2031

R03-S-PL-SCRAP-2031

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Scrap market balance (supply − domestic use), Poland, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · PL · 2031

R03-S-PL-SCRAP-BALANCE-2031

22.30 tys. t Cu

New (post-industrial) scrap, Poland, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · PL · 2031

R03-S-PL-SCRAP-NEW-2031

122.6 tys. t Cu

Post-consumer scrap collection, Poland, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · PL · 2031

R03-S-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031

229.6 tys. t Cu

Scrap use, Poland, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · PL · 2031

R03-S-PL-SCRAP-USE-2031