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Fact Label Value Period Area Primary source
R04-H-EU27-EXPORT-2025 EU-27 – extra-EU exports of CN 7602 in 2025, gross mass 1,277.3 kt gross 2025 EU27 S-ESTAT-COMEXT-7602 A
R04-H-EU27-IMPORT-2025 EU-27 – extra-EU imports of CN 7602 in 2025, gross mass 652.4 kt gross 2025 EU27 S-ESTAT-COMEXT-7602 A
R04-K-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Austria – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 107 kt Al 2031 AT S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Belgium – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 168.3 kt Al 2031 BE S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Bulgaria – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 55.20 kt Al 2031 BG S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Cyprus – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 6 kt Al 2031 CY S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Czechia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 80.10 kt Al 2031 CZ S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Germany – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 720.7 kt Al 2031 DE S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-DK-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Denmark – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 75.70 kt Al 2031 DK S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Estonia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 11.40 kt Al 2031 EE S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-ES-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Spain – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 249.4 kt Al 2031 ES S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-CLOSED-LOOP-2031 EU-27 – recycling within the same family in 2031, indicative measure 2,494.3 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-DOWNCYCLING-2031 EU-27 – downcycling in 2031, indicative measure 1,038.7 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-GROSS-SUPPLY-2031 EU-27 – scrap supply with a buyer in 2031, gross mass 6,169.8 kt gross 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-2031 EU-27 – net extra-EU exports in 2031, assumption-dependent result, contained Al 255.6 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-NEW-GENERATED-2031 EU-27 – new scrap: gross generation in 2031 (contained Al, not gross mass) 5,281.1 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-NEW-INTERNAL-2031 EU-27 – new scrap: internal loop in 2031 3,452 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-MARKET-2031 EU-27 – new scrap on the market in 2031, contained Al 1,829.1 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031 EU-27 – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031, contained Al 3,590.7 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-SCRAP-SUPPLY-2031 EU-27 – scrap supply with a buyer in 2031, contained Al 5,419.7 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-EU27-USEFUL-2031 EU-27 – technologically usable Al in 2031, Al in remelted metal 4,730.0 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-FI-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Finland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 87.70 kt Al 2031 FI S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-FR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 France – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 543.7 kt Al 2031 FR S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-GR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Greece – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 49 kt Al 2031 GR S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-HR-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Croatia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 22.70 kt Al 2031 HR S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-HU-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Hungary – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 66.60 kt Al 2031 HU S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-IE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Ireland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 66.90 kt Al 2031 IE S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-IT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Italy – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 449.9 kt Al 2031 IT S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-LT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Lithuania – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 18 kt Al 2031 LT S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-LU-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Luxembourg – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 7.30 kt Al 2031 LU S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-LV-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Latvia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 8.90 kt Al 2031 LV S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-MT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Malta – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 4.60 kt Al 2031 MT S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-NL-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Netherlands – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 175.5 kt Al 2031 NL S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-PL-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Poland – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 303.2 kt Al 2031 PL S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-PT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Portugal – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 66.40 kt Al 2031 PT S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-RO-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Romania – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 77.80 kt Al 2031 RO S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-SE-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Sweden – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 117.3 kt Al 2031 SE S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-SI-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Slovenia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 15.70 kt Al 2031 SI S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-K-SK-SCRAP-OLD-2031 Slovakia – post-consumer scrap collection with a buyer in 2031 35.70 kt Al 2031 SK S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-N-EU27-EXPORT-2026 EU-27 – extra-EU exports in 2026, nowcast, gross mass 1,294.3 kt gross 2026 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-N-EU27-IMPORT-2026 EU-27 – extra-EU imports in 2026, nowcast, gross mass 702.6 kt gross 2026 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CCMO-NET-EXPORT-2031 Prices: CMO reference point – net export difference vs S0, 2031 10.80 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CCMO-USEFUL-2031 Prices: CMO reference point – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 -7.80 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CN-NET-EXPORT-2031 Prices: Al path −20% – net export difference vs S0, 2031 24.80 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CN-USEFUL-2031 Prices: Al path −20% – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 -14.70 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CW-NET-EXPORT-2031 Prices: Al path +20% – net export difference vs S0, 2031 -20.80 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-CW-USEFUL-2031 Prices: Al path +20% – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 13.10 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-K40-NET-EXPORT-2031 Model counterfactual: no Art. 40 – net export difference vs S0, 2031 906.6 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-K40-USEFUL-2031 Model counterfactual: no Art. 40 – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 -229.2 kt usable Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C
R04-S-K40P-NET-EXPORT-2031 Model counterfactual: limit without the level cut – net export difference vs S0, 2031 403.4 kt Al 2031 EU27 S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C